Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 11.431372 13.378849 15.507973 18.001925 20.836221 23.950077 27.622695
2025-07-06 7.779770 10.303519 13.358126 17.295803 22.202203 28.076604 35.600442
2025-07-13 6.374664 9.288243 13.098069 18.370331 25.390982 34.322249 46.431051
2025-07-20 5.401145 8.531769 12.898352 19.302321 28.297241 40.300647 57.309832
2025-07-27 4.580384 7.783620 12.516884 19.822046 30.567199 45.502809 67.468932
2025-08-03 3.854833 7.018111 11.950961 19.929700 32.166451 49.806931 76.619012
2025-08-10 3.179842 6.194673 11.148605 19.529522 32.900817 52.844539 84.093909
2025-08-17 2.623591 5.460206 10.362969 19.019902 33.354260 55.422638 90.984855
2025-08-24 2.163260 4.805574 9.603624 18.432253 33.577164 57.600039 97.339957
2025-08-31 1.753377 4.163400 8.763558 17.583460 33.250283 58.836008 102.249362
2025-09-07 1.568461 3.936138 8.644696 17.979126 35.031183 63.533403 112.876245
2025-09-14 1.402691 3.716750 8.506209 18.311625 36.709837 68.146244 123.607462
2025-09-21 1.171919 3.324613 8.006888 17.979621 37.310916 71.230302 132.443787
2025-09-28 0.940037 2.878037 7.330720 17.231817 37.108715 72.987082 139.308211
2025-10-05 0.879133 2.843655 7.537097 18.295127 40.426801 81.165497 157.723432
2025-10-12 0.814270 2.783193 7.673415 19.222406 43.555126 89.204709 176.367841
2025-10-19 0.731854 2.653173 7.625116 19.740016 45.905265 95.964171 193.120027
2025-10-26 0.638607 2.466247 7.406672 19.847240 47.418970 101.250276 207.500237
2025-11-02 0.535885 2.219505 6.993021 19.448491 47.828108 104.446302 218.204005
2025-11-09 0.445316 1.982890 6.560203 18.940706 47.941986 107.055137 227.932801
2025-11-16 0.366871 1.760744 6.122297 18.355182 47.815963 109.158779 236.793015
2025-11-23 0.293866 1.530326 5.612048 17.509474 47.009004 109.812511 242.860338
2025-11-30 0.265349 1.465383 5.580363 17.903700 49.085578 116.499759 261.097917